New polls show that Vice President Harris has reversed the gains made by former President Trump with Black voters.

The NYT/SC poll shows Harris and Trump are close, but chief political analyst Nate Cohn suggests a third party candidate like RFK Jr could boost Harris's chances.

July 27th 2024.

New polls show that Vice President Harris has reversed the gains made by former President Trump with Black voters.
After Vice President Kamala Harris announced her run for the Oval Office, recent polls have shown that any gains former President Donald Trump may have made with Black voters seem to have vanished. According to Newsweek, a CNN poll conducted between July 22 and 23 of 1,631 registered voters revealed that the Black community, who may have been hesitant about President Joe Biden, is now more energized by Harris's campaign. An impressive 78% of Black voters expressed their support for Harris, while only 15% showed support for Trump. This is a significant decrease from previous CNN polls which showed Trump capturing 23% of the Black vote.

In a separate ActiVote survey conducted between July 21 and 23, Harris received even more overwhelming support from the Black community, with 90% of Black Americans indicating their support for her, compared to just 10% for Trump. The Trump campaign, however, is trying to downplay these polls by calling it the "Harris honeymoon." In a memo released by the campaign's pollster, Tony Fabrizio, he admits that the media coverage of Harris's campaign will be "largely positive" and "energize Democrats" leading up to the Democratic National Convention on August 19th.

Fabrizio goes on to say that this honeymoon phase will eventually come to an end, and voters will refocus on Harris's role as Biden's partner and co-pilot. He also mentions that the Democrats replacing one nominee with another does not change the public's concerns over the economy, inflation, crime, the open border, and housing costs. Despite a recent New York Times/Siena College poll showing Harris and Trump tied, the Times' chief political analyst Nate Cohn believes that a third-party candidate like Robert F. Kennedy Jr. could potentially help Harris overtake Trump's narrow lead in the general election.

For 27-year-old Black school tutor, Summer Nesbitt from the Detroit area, Harris's campaign is a historic moment, but she believes that Harris should focus on being herself rather than trying to cater to what she thinks the public wants. Nesbitt told the New York Times, "I don't think you have to pretend to be someone you're not just to get the Black vote. Just be yourself." Harris's campaign announcement has largely united the Democratic Party, with almost 80% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters indicating that they would want Harris as the party's nominee.

Michael Newman, a 59-year-old contractor from Arlington, Texas, who is supporting Harris, believes that it would be a setback for the Democrats to try and find someone else to fill in for Harris. "She has a good understanding of the goals that Biden was working on," Newman said. Meanwhile, Michael Kearney Jr., a 41-year-old community activist from Charleston, South Carolina, addresses the concerns of Black voters about Harris's campaign. He told the Times, "My fears and concerns are not about her ability to campaign, raise money, or handle Donald Trump in a debate. My concerns are with white people."

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