September 27th 2024.
According to recent reports from foreign intelligence, there is a looming threat that Russia may resort to deadly measures if Ukraine is given the green light to use long-range missiles from the West. The request for these weapons has been a long-standing plea from Ukraine, who is currently engaged in a conflict with Russia. However, the US and UK have been hesitant to grant this request, fearing that it could escalate the situation even further.
US officials have now disclosed to the New York Times that if Ukraine is allowed to use western missiles to attack Russian territory, Russia may respond in various ways. These could include acts of arson and sabotage on European facilities, or even lethal attacks on military bases in the US and Europe. Previous incidents of sabotage in Europe have been attributed to Russia's military intelligence agency, the GRU. There is a concern that they may broaden their campaign if Ukraine is given the go-ahead to use western-made missiles against Russian forces.
The potential for further escalation of the conflict is a major concern. Russia has already demonstrated its ability to carry out sabotage attacks within the UK, without ever setting foot on British soil. Earlier this year, a British man was charged with plotting arson attacks on Ukraine-related businesses in London after being recruited as a Russian spy. A warehouse in east London was also set on fire, which required 60 firefighters to contain. These events have raised concerns about the possibility of Russia using similar tactics in response to Ukraine's use of western missiles.
President Joe Biden has authorized Ukraine to use US-provided missiles for self-defense, but the distance they can be fired has been limited to prevent further escalation of the conflict and potential sabotage attacks from Russia. However, there are still concerns that the approval of western missiles in Ukraine could lead to repercussions from Russia, such as the acquisition of Iranian missiles. The CIA director has also expressed concerns about the growing defense relationship between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea, which poses a threat to both Ukraine and Western allies in the Middle East.
All of these events have left Russian President Vladimir Putin feeling frustrated and has led to him issuing direct threats of war with the West. He has warned that if the UK and US allow Ukraine to use western-made long-range missiles, it could involve NATO countries, the US, and European countries. While it is uncertain how Russia would retaliate if provoked directly, intelligence services have cautioned that they may resort to attacks on the West or further acts of sabotage.
However, experts have pointed out that there is no reason to believe that the approval of western missiles in Ukraine would be the final straw that would trigger a catastrophic response from Russia. As Russian expert Keir Giles stated, there have been numerous instances of empty threats from Russia, and it is unlikely that an extension of the use of already existing missiles would be the tipping point for a reckless reaction from the Kremlin.
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