July 25th 2024.
In a major shift in the US political landscape, President Joe Biden announced his decision to step down from the 2024 election and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris as the Democratic candidate. This move has been met with overwhelming support from the majority of Democrats, who see Harris as the best candidate to take on ex-President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
The first polls since Biden's announcement have been released, giving us a glimpse of how Harris is currently performing compared to Trump. Surprisingly, the results show a close competition between the two, with Harris trailing narrowly behind the former president. The recent New York Times/Siena College poll, released on Thursday, has Trump leading by a mere one percentage point – 48% to Harris' 47%.
This is a significant increase for Trump, whose previous ratings in the poll ranged from 39% to 45%. It seems that his support has grown since the last poll, which was conducted after his controversial debate with Biden and an attempted assassination. On the other hand, Harris' ratings have also seen a notable increase since February, with her favorability rising from 36% to 47%. However, she still falls slightly behind Trump in the polls.
Interestingly, Harris' current rating is higher than Biden's ever was in the same poll. This is a promising sign for her as she continues to gain momentum as the Democratic nominee. However, the Trump campaign believes that this increase in Harris' popularity is only temporary and is solely due to her new candidacy. A poll by Reuters/Ipsos, published on Tuesday, also shows Trump leading Harris by two percentage points.
A CNN/SSRS poll released on Wednesday has Trump with a three percentage point lead over Harris – 49% to 46%. Although Trump's rating remains consistent with previous polls, Harris' is three percentage points higher than Biden's. When looking at an average of four polls, including Reuters/Ipsos, CNN/SSRS, Economist/YouGov, and RMG Research, it can be seen that Trump only has a one percentage point lead over Harris.
It is clear that the race between Trump and Harris is a tight one, with both candidates having a strong following. President Biden, in his address to the nation on Wednesday, expressed his confidence in Harris and the future of the Democratic party. It is expected that her popularity will continue to increase in the coming days and have a lasting impact on the race. Only time will tell who will come out on top in the 2024 election.
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