December 11th 2024.
Earlier this year, Nigel Farage was elected as a Member of Parliament for the first time. Now, he is being seen as the most likely candidate to take over as the next Prime Minister, according to several betting companies. It seems that the leader of Reform UK has surpassed Kemi Badenoch, the official leader of the opposition, in terms of support and popularity.
Recently, a national poll showed that Reform UK is leading the Labour party for the first time. This news, although coming from a relatively unknown polling company called Find Out Now, has caused quite a stir. It seems that the party's momentum is only increasing with the recent defections from the Conservative party, adding more weight to their potential threat to the current ruling parties.
Some notable figures who have joined Reform UK include Suella Braverman's husband Rael and former Tory member Nick Candy, who has taken on the role of chief fundraiser. It seems that both the Labour and Conservative parties are keeping a close eye on their right-wing rivals, even though the next general election is not expected to be held for another four years.
The betting companies have also taken notice of Farage's potential, with William Hill, Betfair, and Coral all giving him the highest odds of becoming the next Prime Minister at 5/2. Kemi Badenoch, on the other hand, is given odds of 3/1 by most companies. Even Ladbrokes, who has also predicted Farage's rise, has seen a surge of bets being placed on Reform UK winning the most seats in the next election.
In November, Nigel Farage celebrated the party reaching 100,000 members by welcoming ex-Tory Andrea Leadsom and party chairman Zia Yusuf. This is a remarkable achievement, considering the party's rapid growth. In the local elections earlier this year, they only managed to secure two councillors and did not come higher than fourth place in any mayoral race. However, with Farage's return as leader during the general election, they were able to secure the third most votes behind Labour and the Conservatives.
Recent polls have also shown that Reform UK is maintaining a solid third spot, with around 20% of respondents saying they would back the party in the next election. The next important test for the party will be on May 1st next year, when seats on England's county councils and several unitary authorities will be up for grabs. Former leader Richard Tice believes that Reform UK has a good chance of winning the next general election, especially since they have already won or come in second place in Wales. In the Scottish elections, also taking place in 2026, Tice anticipates winning double-digit seats and gaining real influence in Holyrood. It seems that Reform UK's rise in popularity and support is only just beginning.
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