July 4th 2024.
As the dust settles after the 2024 General Election, it appears that there will be some major shakeups in the government. Prominent Tories such as Grant Shapps, Jeremy Hunt, and Penny Mordaunt are among those who are predicted to lose their seats, according to the recently released exit poll. This could potentially mark a historic event, as Jeremy Hunt would become the first sitting Chancellor to lose his seat in political history.
The exit poll has revealed that Labour is on track for a landslide victory, with a projected 410 seats compared to the Tories' 131 seats and the Lib Dems' 61 seats. This could rival the 1997 election win of Tony Blair. The results also suggest that other prominent cabinet members, including Alex Chalk and Lucy Frazier, could also lose their seats to Labour.
There are also possible gains for the Lib Dems in Cheltenham and Ely & East Cambridgeshire, which could mean that Alex Chalk and Lucy Frazier would lose their seats. The Tories are also expected to suffer a major defeat in Bristol Central, where the Green Party is predicted to gain a seat from Labour.
As the votes continue to be counted, many are eagerly awaiting the final results. The Agency's blog is providing live updates on the General Election, keeping everyone informed on the latest developments. And for those who want to stay updated on the go, they can join the WhatsApp channel for quick bulletins and breaking news, or follow along on TikTok for myth-busting, voter opinion, and news.
The exit poll results have also revealed that more than half of the Cabinet could potentially be unseated. This could result in some shocking "Portillo" moments, as seen in the 1997 election when Conservative cabinet minister Michael Portillo lost his seat in Labour's landslide victory. It's a term that has now become synonymous with unexpected political defeats.
Among the Cabinet members who could potentially lose their seats are Jeremy Hunt, Grant Shapps, Penny Mordaunt, Alex Chalk, Mark Harper, and Mel Stride. These ministers have all held important roles in the government, but their positions are now at risk as the votes are tallied.
For some, it's a close battle, such as Jeremy Hunt in his new constituency of Godalming and Ash, where he is facing a strong challenge from Lib Dem councillor Paul Follows. Others, like Grant Shapps and Penny Mordaunt, are also facing defeat in their respective seats.
However, it's not all bad news for the Tories. Education Secretary Gillian Keegan and former Prime Minister Liz Truss are expected to keep their seats with an 85% and 84% chance, respectively. Others, including Kemi Badenoch, Suella Braverman, Robert Jenrick, and Tom Tugendhat, are also predicted to maintain their seats.
As the results come in, it's clear that this General Election has been a rollercoaster ride for all parties involved. From the unexpected gains for Reform UK to the potential landslide victory for Labour, it's clear that the political landscape of the UK is about to undergo some major changes. And for those who want to stay informed, they can subscribe to our newsletter for weekly analysis, news, and views, or follow us on mobile and social media for the latest updates.
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