June 19th 2024.
In a recent forecast by the India Meteorological Department, it has been predicted that the country is likely to experience below normal rainfall in the month of June. This is due to the slowed progress of the monsoon, which has been causing concerns for various regions. While the southern and northeastern states are expected to receive normal to above normal rainfall, the northern and central states are likely to experience below normal rainfall. This is especially worrisome for the areas that have been suffering from a heat wave.
According to the IMD, the average rainfall in the country for the month of June 2024 was 64.5 mm, which is 20% less than the Long Period Average of 80.6 mm. The statement further explains that the southern peninsula and some parts of Northeast India are likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall, while many areas in Northwest and Central India may experience below normal rainfall.
During the month of June, 11 sub-divisions received normal to large excess rainfall, while 25 sub-divisions received deficient to large deficient rainfall. This indicates a varied pattern of rainfall across the country. The monsoon set in early this year, with Kerala experiencing its onset two days ahead of the usual date. Northeast India also saw the monsoon arrive six days in advance. However, the progress of the monsoon has since slowed down, with the Northern Limit of Monsoon passing through certain regions as of June 18.
The monsoon holds great significance in the Indian economy, as more than 50% of the country's farmland relies on it for irrigation. The monsoon rains also play a vital role in recharging the country's reservoirs and aquifers, which are important sources of water for agricultural purposes. Last year, the erratic monsoon led to a decrease in farm production, causing India to limit its exports of foodgrains such as sugar, rice, wheat, and onions. This was done in order to increase domestic supplies and keep prices in check. A strong growth in the farm sector not only contributes directly to the country's GDP, but it also has a positive impact on industrial growth.
Apart from providing food, the farm sector also creates a demand for various industrial goods such as two-wheelers, refrigerators, and fast-moving consumer goods. An increase in agricultural production and incomes, therefore, not only boosts GDP growth but also leads to a rise in industrial growth. The monsoon is a crucial aspect of the Indian economy and its progress is closely monitored by various sectors. Let us hope for a timely and consistent monsoon this year, to help sustain our agricultural growth and overall economy.
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