I saw 3 noteworthy graphs about AI progress in Azeem’s Exponential View newsletter.
The first is the crazy progress in Math and Coding in the past 12 months.
The next is that task length is doubling every 7 months. More complexity is now the norm.
Finally, the cost efficiency curve is wild. Electricity costs per token are plummeting as models are getting efficient.
In effect, AI models are getting smarter at doing more complex while becoming cheaper. And it is all happening on an exponential scale.
We don’t intuitively understand exponential scale as humans – we grasp linear improvements more intuitively. So I won’t pretend to have fully grasped the implications of these developments.
Except to say that they’re going to have seismic consequences for what we do every day in a matter of years vs. decades.
