Possible influences in a heated presidential election: 4 determining elements.

This is an overview of the potential influences and concerns that could sway the election.

November 5th 2024.

Possible influences in a heated presidential election: 4 determining elements.
As the clock ticks down to Election Day, voters who have yet to cast their ballots are gearing up to head to the polls. After months of one of the most intense and contentious presidential races in American history, the end is finally in sight. However, while the campaigning may be coming to a close, the legal battles that may follow could prolong the uncertainty.

On the final day of campaigning, both Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump continued to make their case to the American people. With the latest polls indicating a tight race, both candidates focused on warning voters about the dangers of their opponent while also trying to sell their own ideas.

At a rally in Raleigh, North Carolina, Trump made a bold statement about his plans for space exploration, but quickly shifted to criticizing President Joe Biden's decision to revoke a permit for the XL Pipeline. This is a prime example of Trump's unique way of speaking, which he refers to as "the weave." Meanwhile, Harris stuck to her tried and true stump speech, even using the same lines in interviews.

The issues that have dominated this election, such as the economy and the Supreme Court's decision to overturn federal abortion rights protections, continue to be top concerns for voters. However, recent events and revelations have also played a significant role in shaping voters' opinions.

After some positive polling data for Trump in October, the latest surveys suggest that any momentum he may have had has stalled. Even oddsmakers have taken notice, with one dropping Trump's chances of winning over the weekend. According to a spokesperson, this sudden decrease in confidence among bettors indicates a tighter race than before, with Harris gaining momentum.

As we approach Election Day, it's crucial to examine the issues and factors that could ultimately decide the outcome. One state that has been in the spotlight for months is Pennsylvania, a crucial battleground state. The most recent polls show a dead heat, with the New York Times giving Trump a narrow lead. In interviews with voters in Bucks County, a Philadelphia suburb, it became clear that the community is divided and split between the two candidates.

Former Republican Representative Charlie Dent of Pennsylvania believes that Harris has the advantage in this state, citing her strong ground game and energy. He also points to the importance of the "collar counties" around Philadelphia, where the race could be won or lost. Dent also predicts that while Harris will win Philadelphia, it may not be by as large a margin as expected due to some erosion in support from Black and Latino voters.

During a rally last week, Trump made a comment that could further alienate women voters, a key demographic that his campaign has been trying to appeal to. Polls show a clear gender gap, with Harris leading among women while Trump leads among men. This gap could be exacerbated by the recent decision by the Supreme Court to overturn the constitutional right to an abortion, a topic that has been at the forefront of this election and is a central theme in Harris' campaign.

As Election Day draws near, both campaigns are targeting late-deciders, hoping to sway voters in the final hours. A senior Harris campaign official reported seeing a surge of new votes in their internal polling, giving them a more confident outlook. On the other hand, Trump has continued to deviate from his scripted campaign messages, providing headlines with his off-the-cuff remarks.

The economy has been a key issue throughout this election, with the White House touting strong indicators of growth while many voters remain unconvinced. Trump often asks crowds if they are better off now than they were four years ago, and the economy remains the top issue for likely voters in most battleground states. According to GOP strategist Ford O'Connell, Trump has been winning the messaging battle in October, leaving Harris little room to talk about the issues she wants to focus on.

As the campaigns near their end, it's clear that this election is still anyone's game. With the slogan "Trump will fix it" adorning his podiums, the former president's message may be open to interpretation. And ultimately, the outcome may come down to a few thousand votes in just a handful of toss-up states.

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