June 2nd 2024.
A recent poll has revealed that Americans are deeply divided when it comes to the handling of former President Donald Trump's case by a New York jury. The jury found him guilty on multiple felony charges and there is now a debate on whether he should face jail time as a consequence.
The Morning Consult survey, conducted the day after the jury's decision, showed that a majority of voters believe that the guilty verdict on 34 charges of falsifying business records was the right decision. However, a significant portion of those polled believe that the charges were politically motivated.
The poll, which surveyed 2,200 registered voters, found that 39% of voters disapprove of the court's decision, while 8% were unsure due to lack of information. Interestingly, only 18% of Republicans believe that the former president is guilty, compared to 53% of Independents and a staggering 91% of Democrats.
As expected, Trump has responded to the verdict by claiming that it is a politically motivated attack against him, similar to the one in 2023 when he was indicted by the Manhattan district attorney. This rhetoric has resonated with the majority of the Republican base, but the number of voters who believe that Trump has committed a crime has increased over the past year.
The survey also showed that just over half of voters believe that the guilty verdict should be the end of Trump's attempt at a second term. This includes 15% of Republicans and 8% of self-identified Trump supporters. Interestingly, Republican women are more likely to suggest that Trump should drop out of the race.
Despite this, most voters do not believe that a prison sentence is an appropriate punishment for Trump's alleged cover-up of a hush-money payment to a porn-star mistress. About 7 in 10 voters think that a fine would be a more suitable outcome, while only 44% believe that he should be incarcerated.
Furthermore, a majority of "informed" voters believe that Trump's other legal troubles should be resolved before the November 5 general election. This includes 49% who deem it very important and 21% who see it as somewhat important.
Overall, it is clear that a significant portion of the public believes that Trump has committed a crime, including 1 in 5 voters from his own party. However, the majority of Republican voters still support him and do not want him removed from the political stage. As a result, it remains to be seen how this will impact his campaign in the future.
According to the poll, if the election were to be held today between Trump and Biden (excluding other candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Cornel West, and Jill Stein), Trump would win with a narrow margin of 51-49. This further highlights the divided opinions of the American people on the former president's guilt and potential consequences.
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