November 13th 2024.
As Donald Trump prepares to take office as the new President of the United States, tensions between the West and Russia have reached an all-time high. The possibility of a third world war is a real concern, according to a leading risk management expert. Dr. Simon Bennett has raised alarms about the urgent need for Western leaders to address this pressing issue.
Dr. Bennett dismissed any hopes of a potential détente between the incoming Trump administration and Russian President Vladimir Putin, especially in light of Putin's aggressive actions towards Ukraine. He sent a letter to Sir Keir Starmer, expressing his concerns and questioning whether the world is on the brink of a third world war. He also called for Western troops to be deployed to the Belarus border to support the exhausted Ukrainian forces.
In the midst of all this, the world is eagerly anticipating Trump's approach to the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Some commentators have speculated that he may be able to find a solution or at least continue the critical military aid that Washington has been providing to Kyiv. However, Dr. Bennett, who specializes in researching armed conflict, warns that the world will become an "infinitely more dangerous place" once the new administration takes over in January.
He explains that the Trump presidency is not a "glow of hope," but rather a potential catalyst for a catastrophic global conflict. He also points out the danger of having a leader who he describes as "unbalanced, vain, egocentric, immature, authoritarian ignoramus" in charge of the most powerful nation in the world. He also criticizes Western leaders for prioritizing their own electoral interests over taking a firm stance against Putin's aggressive actions.
The conflict in Ukraine, particularly in the east, has been taking a toll on both Russian and Ukrainian forces. The US Institute for the Study of War has warned that unless Kyiv can stop Putin's war machine, Russia will eventually make significant gains. However, their forces cannot sustain the current level of losses indefinitely. The conflict has also escalated to involve North Korean troops, and the Kremlin has been flexing its nuclear muscles, adding to the already tense situation.
Dr. Bennett points out that Putin's hybrid warfare tactics extend far beyond the borders of Russia and Ukraine and implicate him in various incidents around the world. He believes that if the West continues to turn a blind eye to the situation in Ukraine, Putin will continue to expand his imperial ambitions to other neighboring countries like Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, Moldova, and Poland. He also draws parallels to Europe's past, warning against appeasement and the disastrous consequences it can have.
Amidst all this, Trump and Putin reportedly had a phone call after the US presidential election, discussing the possibility of finding a resolution to the Ukraine conflict. However, the Kremlin denied this. There are also indications that the incoming Trump administration may not be as supportive of Kyiv as the previous administration. This includes a social media post shared by Trump's son, suggesting that the new president may cut arms shipments to Ukraine. Meanwhile, the conflict continues to claim lives and cause destruction, with both sides suffering casualties and Ukrainian civilians living under constant threat.
The UK and European nations have been urged to step up their support for Ukraine, especially with the clock ticking on Trump's inauguration. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson has warned that British troops may have to be sent to Ukraine if military aid is cut and Putin gains the upper hand. There are indications that the UK and other European nations are preparing to increase their support, including increasing arms production and supply. However, there has been no indication of their willingness to allow long-range missile strikes within Russia.
Despite the dangers and potential global consequences, Dr. Bennett believes that Western leaders have not fully grasped the gravity of the situation. He urges them to take decisive action before it's too late. He warns that Ukraine may be subjugated or razed by Russia if the allies continue to stand by and watch. And ultimately, he fears that failure to act may lead to a third world war.
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